Indian Stocks News - Your Guide To Stocks, Investments and Money - Homepage
FREE Newsletter Write Stock Report Advertise Contact
 
Powered By
Home Stocks To Buy Stock Tips Stock Trading Investment Growth Stock Penny Stocks To Buy   Mutual Funds
| Share

Thursday, February 25, 2010

Evergeen Automobile Stock To Buy - Hero Honda

It’s simply amazing how Hero Honda can constantly churn out appealing new bikes with panache, beating obsessive competitors like Bajaj auto.

It bucked the industry downturn last year, when it sold more two-wheelers (a powerful mix of premium brands like Karizma, Achiever, Hunk and CBZ backed by successful entry-level brands like Splendor, Glamour and Passion) than the combined volumes of the second-, third- and fourth-placed competitors.

Indeed, over two decades, Hero Honda has surprised at every turn: strategically focusing on motorcycles, avoiding missteps (such as mindless diversifications or mismanaging cash) and, finally, managing its partnership with Honda as well as technological improvements even as Honda launched its own motorcycles.

The stock price, trading at around Rs 500 five years ago, is now at Rs1,600. Shareholders have been rewarded with 243% return over five years when Hero Honda’s RoE averaged 41%, backed by a fat operating margin of 18%.

The stock was available cheap in May 2004 and October 2008. When panic strikes, calculate whether the price is low enough for the market-cap to be 0.9 times sales and 6 times operating profit and jump in to buy stocks.
Ref. & Source: Moneylife

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nestle - Evergreen FMCG Stock To Buy

Five years ago, the stock of Nestlé India was at Rs550. Today, the stock is pushing Rs2,500. Shareholders, who had bought this stock five years ago, made a return of 261%, plus 22% of dividend.

Nestle is one of the best performing stocks from the stable of safe stocks to buy among Indian Stocks. Consistently well performing FMCG business, best of the brands and distribution network are the strong plus points.

Stock investment return of 261% and 22% dividend makes up total return of 283% over five years. That is more than 20 years of return from your fixed deposits! Of course, the stock has been down a few months in these five years: once when the Indian market crashed 30% in a month (May-June 2006) and again in early 2007. Those were the times to buy it.

Shareholders got another chance to buy this stock in 2008 when the price crashed from Rs1,800 to Rs1,200. Nestlé has been a great play on the Indian consumption story because it has a clutch of brands that have amazing competitive advantage. It is not easy to combat its dominance in instant coffee (Nescafé), confectionery (Kit Kat, Polo and others), baby food and milk, where it has 85% market share (Cerelac, Nestum, Lactogen, Nestogen and Nan), and noodles (Maggi).

Every few years, the company adds a significant new business vertical where it establishes a slew of huge brands. Two decades ago, it was Maggi; most recently, it was liquid milk and its various derivatives. All this has allowed Nestlé to notch up an average RoE (return on equity) of 92% over the past five years.

When should you buy stocks of Nestle? Buy when stock valuations come down to 2.5 times sales and 11 times operating profit.
Ref. & Source: MoneyLife

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, February 22, 2010

Stocks Which have Lost While Indian Stock Market Doubled Up

This is an article from MoneyLife magazine which I am reproducing here for the benefit of Indian Stock market investor.

From a low of 8,160 on 9 March 2009, the Sensex has surged over 100%, taking with it most companies on a dizzying price rise. However, several companies have missed the boat completely, actually moving in the opposite direction.

With the overall rally now losing steam, these stocks look set to ride the cold wave a while longer.

Between 9 March 2009 and 27 January 2010, the Sensex has shot upwards from 8,160 to 16,290, a phenomenal rise of 100%. However, out of the 1,328 companies in the Moneylife database, 14 companies have shown negative stock price growth.

Among the prominent losers are Austral Coke & Projects and Ackruti City, which have crashed 56% and 51%, respectively, during this bull phase. Vishal Information Technologies, Anu’s Laboratories and Bang Overseas have also lost out in a big way, having declined 45%, 43% and 39%, respectively.

Cranes Software, which was trading at Rs38.70 on 9 March 2009, is now at Rs23.85, a fall of 38% despite its fame as a different kind of software company. K Sera Sera Productions and Northgate Technologies also shared the same fate, having shot downwards by 26% and 22%, respectively.

Among the larger companies, Tata Communications and Orissa Sponge Iron & Steel have disappointed investors. Tata Communications has slipped 21% to Rs322.70 from Rs406.50 at the start of the period. Orissa Sponge Iron & Steel has fallen 18% over the same period.

Other laggards include Rasoi, Disa India and GSL Nova Petrochemicals, which have fallen 13%, 11% and 10%, respectively over this period. The share price of Lotus Eye Care Hospital remained virtually unchanged during this period.

One of the reasons these stocks have failed to capture the upsurge in the markets since last year is their dubious antecedents. Austral Coke made an IPO under a controversy—its promoters were seemingly locked in a legal war with the promoters of Gujarat NRE Coke. Ackruti City’s accounting was impenetrable.

Bang Overseas and K Sera Sera were never known for high quality of management.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, February 21, 2010

Best Stocks To Buy Now For 2010 Investment Portfolio

Indian stock markets have been volatile and in corrective mode since January 2010. 2009 downturn has squeezed profits of many companies in exports, IT/Software and commodities sectors. Stocks to buy in 2010 would be those who had expanded their businesses at accelerated speed in downturn last year. MoneyLife had published stock analysis of five such companies which recorded very good sales and profits.

The five stocks discussed here are enjoying a terrific tailwind. They are among the rare few that have proven themselves in a difficult environment of downturn and recession. The market knows this; two of the five are not cheap. But the market has started correcting quite sharply; so it would be prudent to wait for the stocks to hit the targeted purchase price mentioned for each stock.

1. Stock Analysis - Birla Corporation
Birla Corp has been consistently doing well from past two years. It is the most profitable but cheap cement stock.

2. Stock To Buy From Media Sector - Jagran Prakashan
It is not too late to profit from the explosive growth of Indian regional media and the way to do it is to buy Jagaran Prakashan

3. Stock Analysis - Garden Silk Mills
Garden Silk Mills (Garden) had pioneered the branded polyester sari and dress material business in India through its high impact and coveted advertising campaigns.

4. Stock Analysis - Pidilite Industries
Pidilite Industries Ltd is a classic all-weather stock to buy that must be bought on severe market declines.

5. Stock Analysis - Gujarat State Petronet GSPL is a pioneer in developing energy transportation infrastructure and connecting natural gas supply basins and LNG terminals to growing markets. Here is company stock analysis to help you make decision on for your stock investment portfolio.

You May Want To Checkout: Stocks To Buy For 2010 - Let's Share Ideas

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stock Analysis - Birla Corporation

Birla Corp has been consistently doing well from past two years. It is the most profitable but cheap cement stock.

Birla Corp’s businesses are mainly cement and jute. Cement contributes 85% of revenues, which have been growing 27% on an average, over the past three quarters; its operating profit was up a huge 70% over the same period. Margins too have improved dramatically and, currently, average an extraordinary 38%.

In the September quarter, the company’s cement segment generated revenues of Rs465.96 crore compared to Rs450.09 crore in the June 2009 quarter, a rise of 4% while the power segment generated revenues of Rs58.17 crore in the September 2009 quarter compared to Rs40.10 crore in the June 2009 quarter, a rise of 45%. In FY09, the company’s cement sales were 5.29 million tonnes and analysts expect these to rise by 2% in FY10. A significant addition to cement capacity is in the pipeline, its impact would be felt only in the second half of FY10. The company has a Rs2,000 crore investment plan which includes 1.2 million tonnes expansion at Chanderia, 0.6 million tonnes expansion at Durgapur and three million tonnes expansion at Satna.

The only problem with Birla Corp is that the September quarter was probably among the best ones for cement companies when they benefited from lower costs and strong growth in volumes and pricing. This sweet spot has now disappeared and the industry is headed for overcapacity; this is more pronounced in the south but all cement companies will be under some pressure.

A stock to buy only at around Rs. 250 - 275 levels for long term investment portfolio.

Checkout: Stocks To Buy For 2010 - Let's Share Ideas

Go back to: Stocks To Buy Now For 2010 Investment Portfolio

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stock To Buy From Media Sector - Jagran Prakashan

It is not too late to profit from the explosive growth of Indian regional media and the way to do it is to buy Jagaran Prakashan.

Among the major disappointments for institutional investors have been their investments in media companies. Investments in unlisted companies, like 9x, and listed companies, like TV18 and NDTV, have only brought tears to smart investors. The reason is not that media companies are not making money. It is simply that sharp suits never looked at where the money was flowing to and which business segments have wide moats to keep out competitors.

That segment, in India, happens to be in the regional print media, especially Hindi publications. It is not too late to profit from the explosive growth of Indian regional media and the way to do it is to buy Jagaran Prakashan. This company has 33 editions of the newspaper all over the country, but mainly in the north. Of these, just four are marginally loss-making; one in Jammu & Kashmir. Around two years ago, eight of its editions were loss-making. The past three quarters have been superb for Jagran primarily because of the drastic fall in newsprint prices. Many had not reckoned with this natural hedge: in a downturn, a publication operating in the Hindi heartland will more than make up the fall in advertising revenue with savings from newsprint.

The other competitive aspect of Jagran is that 60% of its advertising revenue is derived from local advertisers; only the remaining comes from national advertisers. This gives it a completely different revenue model, as compared to, say, the TV channels. Another aspect of Jagran’s revenue profile is that two of its biggest advertisement sources are government departments (17%) and education entities (15%). These two sectors are also most immune to short-term economic cycles. None of the other revenue segments contributes more than 6%.

Jagran’s September quarter results surprised the market. Revenues were up 18%. Operating margin was up 34% due to sharply lower newsprint cost and increased ad revenues, thanks to the pre-election advertising by political parties, competitive spending by telecom companies and also spending by consumer products and durables companies. Margins will improve further in the second half of 2010 if ad revenues from financial services, banking and real estate pick up pace.

The stock isn’t cheap right now. At a market price of Rs119, it is trading at 13 times its operating profit. Buy stocks of this company at around Rs90 for long term investment portfolio.

Checkout: Stocks To Buy For 2010 - Let's Share Ideas

Go back to: Stocks To Buy Now For 2010 Investment Portfolio

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stock Analysis - Garden Silk Mills

Garden Silk Mills (Garden) had pioneered the branded polyester sari and dress material business in India through its high impact and coveted advertising campaigns.

It also makes polyethylene terephthalic acid (PET) chips, polyester filament yarn and fabrics like georgette, chiffon, faille, fabric, jacquard (dyed and printed) for blouses, skirts and dresses. Garden was once known for the quality of its fabrics and unique designs. But, in the past few years, the company has become more of a polyester manufacturer and shifted its focus quite substantially from being a branded fabric producer. This is clear from the contribution of the fabric business to sales, which is now just 8% (down from 36% in 2003), while the share of polyester chips in total sales increased to 43% (from 1% in the same period). In that sense, Garden is more of a company making intermediate products.

Polyester filament yarn (PFY) is produced from molten polymer or PET chips. This helps Garden to operate through the total value chain of the polyester textiles business. It has production facilities at Surat, which is one of the largest PFY markets. It also exports to UK, France, Spain, Portugal and other countries. Earlier, the polyester market was heavily taxed—almost 50% plus excise duty. This was later reduced to 8%. Last year’s fiscal stimulus package saw a further drop to 4% boosting consumption. Garden is expanding continuously. About six months ago, Garden started an additional 36,500 tonnes polymerisation capacity and announced that it will set up a 10,000tpa PET chips plant.

Globally, India and China are the two major producers of PFY. In the post-quota regime, major capacities have shifted to China and India as these two countries offer low-cost labour and production technology; Taiwan, Korea and Japan have become uncompetitive in the polyester market. Sales have grown through the downturn as has operating profit (up 106% in Q1FY10). For FY2009-10, Garden should achieve net sales of around Rs2,000 crore and net profit of Rs75 crore which will translate into an EPS of around Rs19.

The stock is trading at just four times the FY10E EPS. Buy stocks around Rs60.

Checkout: Stocks To Buy For 2010 - Let's Share Ideas

Go back to: Stocks To Buy Now For 2010 Investment Portfolio

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stock Analysis - Pidilite Industries

Pidilite Industries Ltd is a classic all-weather stock to buy that must be bought on severe market declines.

It reports excellent revenues and profits, year after year, has a suite of impregnable brands which it nurtures well, is a fine domestic consumption play, is run by smart promoters—and is usually expensive, which is why it should be bought when the market sells off crazily.

Pidilite is the leading manufacturer of crafts materials, adhesives and glues, DIY (do-it-yourself) products and industrial specialty chemicals in India. Its flagship brand, Fevicol, is the largest selling synthetic adhesives brand in India. Pidilite operates in two main segments—consumer/bazaar products and industrial products. The consumer and bazaar segment includes products like adhesives, sealants, art materials, construction chemicals and paint chemicals. This segment contributes more than 70% of its revenue. The industrial product segment includes industrial adhesives, synthetic resins, organic pigments, pigment preparations and surfactants. These are consumed by various industries including packaging, textiles, paints, printing inks, paper and leather.

The key driver to sales and earnings growth for Pidilite is the steady increase in the proportion of branded products with a clear edge in the marketplace. Pidilite has powerful brands like Fevicol, Steelgrip, Acron, Dr Fixit, Fevitite M-seal (acquired from Mahindras), Fevistik, Fevikwik, Fevibond, Piditint, Fevicryl, Prime, Ranipal (acquired from Mafatlals), etc, pushed through a marketing network of 40,000 dealers and over 400,000 retail outlets—an unmatched promotional and distribution reach. It is also known for a series of terrifically humorous TV commercials that lift the profile of its mundane, utilitarian products, especially adhesives.

While Pidilite has so far been focused on chemicals and, within that, different versions of adhesives, it did the unthinkable and launched a snack food called Chikkers. Chikkers were a kind of sweet crispies that were positioned as a health snack but sank without a trace. Its idea of creating a retail chain of Hobby Ideas to sell art materials and many of its own products under one roof in an attractive promotional environment has not worked either. The good thing is that the management is slow to commit funds to such experimental ideas and quick to pull the plug when they don’t work. Pidilite is uniquely placed due to its strong market position, product innovation, a wide distribution network, its ability to exploit brand loyalty and increased demand due to the construction boom. It also exports its products to over 50 countries including Brazil, South Africa, Egypt and USA and to countries of the Middle East and Europe. In FY09, exports accounted for about 26% of the total revenue.

A key issue with Pidilite is its susceptibility to swings in raw material prices. When raw material costs shoot up, margins are squeezed and the stock, which has low institutional ownership and following, stagnates or falls. The past two quarters have been great because raw material prices were low. In Q2FY10, net profit was up by 240%. Operating profit for the September quarter, at Rs119.59 crore, was the highest ever, even though margins will go down in the coming quarters as raw material prices have risen. On the other hand, topline growth will be higher, thanks to increased construction.

The Pidilite stock is never cheap and sports a P/E of around 14 on FY10 net profit. Buy stocks of Pidilite at around Rs 150 for long term investment portfolio.

Checkout: Stocks To Buy For 2010 - Let's Share Ideas

Go back to: Stocks To Buy Now For 2010 Investment Portfolio

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stock Analysis - Gujarat State Petronet

GSPL is a pioneer in developing energy transportation infrastructure and connecting natural gas supply basins and LNG terminals to growing markets. Here is company stock analysis to help you make decision on for your stock investment portfolio.

It is the first pipeline company operating on an open access basis and is a pure transmission network with systematic and seamless pipelines across Gujarat. It sources gas from traders, producers and LNG terminals and supplies them to user industries such as power, fertiliser, steel, chemical plants and to local distribution companies.

The Indian natural gas market is still underdeveloped but is slowly emerging as one of the largest gas markets in the world. According to Hydrocarbon Vision 2025, the share of natural gas would increase to 20% of total primary energy consumption by 2025. Gas pipeline companies, like Gas Authority of India (GAIL), Gujarat Gas and, of course, Reliance Industries, will grow as more pipelines are laid and more gas flows through them. GSPL already has a gas network of 1,400km in one of the fastest-growing areas of the country, especially since natural gas is a prime energy source in Gujarat. About 35% of India’s natural gas is consumed in Gujarat. GSPL is commissioning another 500km of pipeline over the next 18 months and will benefit from the tax concessions given to pipeline companies in the Finance Act 2009.

GSPL has consistently announced excellent financial results, thanks to higher gas output throughout and rising tariff, forcing investment analysts to revise their profit forecasts for the company. In the September quarter, revenues grew 115% and operating profit grew 139%, backed by an extremely high operating margin of 87%. GSPL’s volumes jumped due to the flow of KG-Basin gas; this will continue to increase. New and expanded sources of revenues would be: increased gas supply from the KG-Basin and LNG from Petronet’s Dahej terminal. Currently, GSPL charges around Rs915/tscm (thousand standard cubic metres) which is expected to remain stable.

Assuming stable tariff and higher throughput, GSPL may clock an EPS of around Rs9 for FY10. At the current price, of around Rs82, the stock seems to be valued reasonably and one may consider for long term investing.

Checkout: Stocks To Buy For 2010 - Let's Share Ideas

Go back to: Stocks To Buy Now For 2010 Investment Portfolio

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, February 18, 2010

Mid Cap Stock To Buy - Manappuram General Leasing and Finance

Manappuram General Leasing and Finance is recommended stock to buy with a target price of Rs 900.

Stock investment research team of Emkay global financial research has recently released a stock research report on this.

Manappuram General Leasing and Finance (MAGFIL) is India’s one of the few listed micro finance company with enviable presence in the loan against gold segment. Large population without access to banks, high gold prices and doubling of branch network (to 1500 over FY09-12E) will help MAGFIL’s AUM grow by 8x over FY09-12E. We expect MAGFIL’s net profit to grow by 12x (to Rs3.5bn) over FY09-12E, driven by strong AUMs growth and strong pricing power with NIMs of 16%+.

Market Cap 1,190.57
* EPS (TTM) 44.35
* P/E 15.56
* P/C 14.90
* Book Value 93.23
* Price/Book 7.40
Div(%) 25.00
Div Yield(%) 0.36
Market Lot 1.00
Face Value 10.00
Industry P/E 19.09

With robust risk management systems in place (3-stage appraisals, strong vaults and limiting the loan sizes to 15-20k), we expect MAGFIL to achieve this growth without compromising on the asset quality. We expect MAGFIL’s net NPAs to move down from 1.4% to 0.2% of advances over FY09-12E. We expect MAGFIL to report RoAs of 5%+ and RoEs of 35%+ over FY09-12E. The stock valuations at 2.3x FY12E ABV are quite attractive. As has happened with many other NBFCs, we expect MAGFIL’s valuations to track its balance sheet growth.

It is recommended to buy stocks of Manappuram with a target of Rs 900, valuing it at 3x FY12E ABV.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IPO Information - Man Infraconstruction

Incorporated in 2002, Man Infraconstruction Ltd is a construction company located in Mumbai. Company have undertaken projects in the six States of Maharashtra, Kerala, Gujarat, West Bengal, Goa and Tamil Nadu.

This is the rest of Issue Open: Feb 18, 2010
Issue close: Feb 22, 2010
Price Band: Rs. 243 - Rs. 252 Per Equity Share
Minimum Bid Size: 22 Equity Shares
Face Value: Rs. 10 Per Equity Share
Maximum Subscription Amount for Retail Investor: Rs. 1,00,000

IPO Grading / Rating by CRISIL:
CRISIL has assigned an IPO Grade 3 to Man Infraconstruction Limited IPO. This means as per CRISIL, company has 'Average Fundamentals'.

IPO Analysis & Research Report
Hem Securities has come out with a IPO research report on Man Infraconstruction. The research firm has recommended subscribing to the issue.

The company is bringing the issue at price band of Rs 243-252 per share which will turn into P/E multiple of 13.57-14.07 at post issue annualized consolidated EPS of Rs 17.91. Being in infrastructure space the company’s debt to equity stood at mere 0.04 in 9 months ending 31.12.2009. Also strong net profit margin of the company gives it an edge over its peers. With strong order book and reasonable valuation, the issue looks an attractive destination to deploy the funds in. Hence we recommend the investor to subscribe the issue.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

IPO Information - Texmo Pipes

TEXMOPipes and Products (TPPL) is coming out with a IPO of 50 lakh shares in a price band of Rs 85 to Rs 90 each to raise over Rs 42.5 crore to fund its expansion and diversification plans. Checkout Its' IPO Valuation.

IPO Information
Price Band: Rs 85-90
issue size: Rs 42.5 -45 crore
Date: Feb 16 - 19

The company proposes to invest the proceeds to expand its PVC pipes capacity by 66%, start making pipefittings and diversify in woven sacks by October 2010. Post-IPO , the promoter groups stake in the company will come down to 55.6% from the current 100%.

BUSINESS:
The plastic pipe maker with 25,000 tonne of PVC and 11,000 tonne of HDPE pipes capacity commenced its operations in 1999 as a partnership firm, which was converted into a company only in July 2008. Further, it bought assets and liabilities of three promoter group firms in August 08 and commissioned a plant in September 08. It makes various types of pipes and accessories required in the irrigation, sewerage, construction and telecom industries. It is a regional player with a presence in six states such as MP, Maharashtra, UP, Gujarat , AP and Rajasthan with 169 exclusive dealers.

GROWTH DRIVERS:
The plastic pipes industry is currently going through a boom with growing irrigation projects and increasing usage in telecom, construction and oil & gas transportation industries. However, the generic PVC pipes market for irrigation is crowded by a large number of small and medium scale manufacturers in the unorganised sector. The proposed facility to manufacture fittings will augment its existing product portfolio of pipes, enabling it to supply total solutions to its customers. The firm also wants to expand geographically by establishing dealership network in the other states, such as Tamil Nadu, Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal.

FINANCIALS:
Between FY05 and FY09, the companys net sales grew at a CAGR of 46.5% while net profit grew at 94%. However, the growth in the past one year was muted despite a 157% jump in its production capacity from 14,000 TPA to 36,100 TPA by the end of FY09. The company was carrying a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.7 as on October 31, 09. Its investment in working capital was 3.5 times that in its fixed assets. Its average debtors and average inventory have steadily grown in the past three years to 61 days and 59 days, respectively.

IPO VALUATION:
At this price band, the shares are valued 16.6 to 17.6 times the annualised profit for FY10 on post issue equity. The price is around 1.6 times its post issue book value. Its peers, like Tulsi Extrusion, Precision Pipes, Kisan Mouldings and Astral Polytechnik, are trading in a P/E range of 3.3 to 12.8 and a price-to-book ratio of 0.5 to 2.2.

CONCERNS:
The company is into high working capital industry and its operating cashflows were negative in three out of the past five years. Considering the proposed expansion plans, the scenario is unlikely to change. Its existing and proposed products are me-too products with a lot of competition in the market. The brand name and corporate logo used by the company Texmo are not registered and are currently being contested.

Final Verdict: One may avoid to buy ipo of Texmo looking at expensive valuations.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, February 13, 2010

Long Term Mid Cap Stock To buy - TCI

Multi-modal logistics player Transport Corporation of India (TCI), with a presence in segments such as trucking, supply-chain solutions and warehousing, has benefited from a revival in demand from the key user-segments like automobiles and consumer durables over the past few months.

For instance, the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) grew at a brisk 11% year-on-year (YoY) in November ‘09 and there was also a corresponding improvement in trucking freight rates.

As a result, TCI’s operating profit margin improved by 50 basis points YoY to 7.2% in the December ‘09 quarter at a time when its net sales also grew 18.8% YoY to Rs 381.2 crore. Apart from an improved operating environment in the third quarter of the current financial year (FY10), the logistics major also benefited from its strategy of expanding its presence in higher-margin segments like supply-chain solutions and XPS cargo tracking, which provides door-to-door delivery services of goods.

The company’s logistics network includes 7.8-million square feet of warehousing space at the end of May ‘09, a rise of 20% over the past two years. As per various estimates, nearly 18-20% of this space is company-owned and the remaining is leased. In addition, its fleet includes 7,000 trucks and trailers (both owned and managed), coupled with five cargo ships with a capacity of nearly 16,500 deadweight tonne.

The improved operating environment for TCI has not gone unnoticed by the Street. The stock has risen nearly 6.5% over the past three months, compared to a 3.5% fall in the Sensex. Other larger players in the logistics segment, like Allcargo Global, have done much better during the period.

And despite the rise in the stock over the past three months, TCI, at Rs 91.8 per share, trades at reasonable 16 times on a trailing basis. Other players like Allcargo Global trades at 16.6 times on a consolidated basis, while the largest player, government-controlled Container Corporation, trades at nearly 21 times.

Investors could consider buying stocks to make fresh investments in the company, in a bid to take advantage of the growth in the logistics sector over the next few years.
Source: ET

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, February 12, 2010

Turnaround Small Cap Stock To Buy - IOL Chamicals

Going by the company’s December ‘09 quarter results, there could be a change in fortunes. For the past couple of years, IOL Chemicals was implementing expansion and backward integration projects with a capex of Rs 256 crore, which it completed only recently.

The stock of Punjab-based IOL Chemicals has grossly underperformed the market in the past one year, falling nearly 50% despite a 65% jump in the Sensex — the primary reason being its weak performance in the first half of FY10.

The company set up a 6,600-tonne per annum (TPA) plant to manufacture isobutyl benzene (IBB), which is the key intermediate in manufacturing ibuprofen. With a capacity of 3,600 TPA of ibuprofen, the company is already the second largest in the world and plans to raise its capacity to 6,000 TPA by mid-FY11 to emerge as the world’s largest producer of this anti-inflammatory drug.

Over the past nine months, the company has set up plants for mono-chloro acetic acid (MCA) and acetyl chloride, which are the other key raw materials in the manufacture of ibuprofen and use IOL’s other products — acetic acid and acetic anhydride — as inputs. In addition, it has also set up a 13-MW captive power plant, using coal or rice husk as fuel.

IOL Chemicals, earlier known as Industrial Organics, is a turnaround story. In FY03, the company’s net worth had turned negative. But thanks to equity infusion, there was a turnaround. Since then, its net worth has grown at a cumulative annualised growth rate (CAGR) of 87%.

The debt-to-equity (D/E) ratio, which was 6.1 at the end of FY04 came down to 1.6 by the end of FY08. It moved up to 2.2 by end of FY09 due to the expansion project. The company is repaying close to Rs 35 crore of debt annually, which can reduce the D/E ratio to one by the end of FY11.

IOL Chemicals’ performance during the first half of FY10 was impacted by low acetic acid prices, which forced it to run its 50,000-TPA acetic acid plant below capacity.

The company was using nearly 80% of its acetic acid production for captive consumption in FY09, which could go up to 100% in view of the new derivative capacities commissioned. However, its December ‘09 quarter showed a multi-fold profit growth that went unnoticed by the market due to the weak sentiment.

The company’s capital investment programme for the past couple of years is expected to bring in additional revenues and profits in the coming quarters. The prospects for the company’s scrip, which is trading below its book value and at a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 7.7, makes it appear to be a reasonably bright stock to buy .
Source: ET

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, February 11, 2010

When Should You Buy Stocks In Ongoing Correction Phase?

We have been observing the ongoing correction in Indian stock markets for some time now. Although no one can time the stock markets for buying stocks, still the obvious question comes in mind is when should be buy stocks in this ongoing correction phase?

I have been reading a lot about this being discussed by stock market traders - experts and stock investment research teams.

Most of the people have opined that first half of 2010 for Indian stock markets will be volatile. Second half of 2010 could see the stock markets moving in upward direction and rising towards previous highs.

What I feel is, finance budget in February end could provide vital guidance for financial policies and important guidelines on stimulus package for economy. These guidelines and overall impact of those would help us in determining stocks to buy in 2010. Month of March will be I guess the time period when this ongoing correction would settle and Indian stock markets could start preparing for it's next upwards move.

That would be the time buy quality value stocks in 2010 for long term investments. One should buy stocks in March with eye on signs of end of correction.

Checkout: Stocks To Buy For 2010 - Let's Share Ideas

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tuesday, February 9, 2010

Small Cap Stock To Buy - Dolphin Offshore

This stock has tripled in past 18 months but the growth trajectory of Dolphin Offshore still remains strong making it a small cap growth stock with fair stock valuations.

the scrip has more than tripled since we last covered it in July 2008, With new assets joining its fleet, the company is expanding its capabilities that can generate healthy returns over the next two-three years.

BUSINESS:

Dolphin Offshore (DOL) is a marine engineering company supporting the offshore petroleum industry. The company currently owns 14 vessels and has two major vessels on order to be delivered later in 2010. The company, which started as a diving support company 30 years back, has now scaled up to undertaking turnkey contracts for fabrication, offshore engineering, inspection, maintenance, modification, repair works for the offshore E&P petroleum companies. Historically, ONGC has remained the principal client for the company. The companys plans to set up a shipbuilding and ship repair unit in Gujarat have taken a backstage due to environmental concerns. Hence, the company is trying to tie up with a fabrication yard for its captive consumption.

GROWTH DRIVERS:
Although the global E&P industry has slowed down considerably in the past couple of years following the economic crisis, it continues to thrive in India. ONGC, particularly, is busy revamping its Mumbai High assets and has budgeted Rs 15,000 crore for the purpose. It will also spend Rs 7,000 crore for developing small and marginal fields in the western offshore. In the first quarter of 2010 itself, ONGC is expected to tender out contracts worth around Rs 3,300 crore. DOL has just taken the delivery of one workboat in December 2009 and is set to get its construction barge by March 2010 and another workboat by September 2010. DOL has established itself as an efficient EPC contractor by executing several ONGC turnkey contracts. This enables it to aspire for bigger and more complex jobs in the future with better margins. The outstanding order book, which is currently at Rs 257 crore, is expected to increase.

STOCK FINANCIALS:
For the 12-month period ended December 2009, the company posted an identical 52% growth in operating revenues as well as net profit with operating margins stable at 19%. Over the past five years, its net sales have increased at a CAGR of 31.7%, while the net profit grew at 56.4%. It is currently carrying a debt of around Rs 100 crore, three-fourth of which represents working capital. Payment delays by debtors are one of the greatest problems faced by the company as its average debtor velocity stood at six months during FY2009.

CONCERNS:
Global economic recovery that can refuel the E&P binge of the global majors remains a key concern for the companys growth. Due to the contractual nature of work, which again is dependent on monsoon and weather conditions, the companys earnings could witness great swings from quarter to quarter.

STOCK VALUATIONS:
At the current market price, the scrip is trading 9 times its consolidated net profit for the past 12 months. Other companies in the industry, such as Garware Offshore (11.1), Great Offshore (7.8), Aban Offshore (15.5), are trading at similar levels. DOL is expected to end FY11 with a net profit of Rs 78 crore. The current price discounts the estimated FY11 earnings 7.4 times.
Source: Investors Guide

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GE Shipping - Stock Analysis

Global shipping industry is turning around on the back of recovery in economic recession. GE Shipping is expected to benefit from this turnaround making it a stock to buy.

THE shipping industry has witnessed a strong improvement in its operating environment over the past few weeks, as in the key tanker segment, which consists of transporting crude and allied petroleum products, there are signs of a pick up in global demand. There has also been a corresponding improvement in spot shipping freight rates.

For instance, players such as GE Shipping, the second largest Indian player in this sector, is expected to benefit, thanks to a recent report of the IEA that said that global oil demand is forecast to improve by 1.7% year on year in calendar year 2010. Strong demand conditions for oil and allied products have resulted in tanker spot segment freight rates, such as VLCC at $48, 800 per day levels currently, a sharp jump from the third quarter of FY10. Indian players utilise a majority of their fleet capacity in the tanker segment.

FLEET SIZE:
At the end of January 2010, GE Shipping fleet capacity consisted of 38 vessels with a total capacity of nearly 2.84 million DWT (dead weight tonnes) and it had utilised a large majority for tanker segment. However, there was a reduction of nearly 12.9% in its total shipping capacity in DWT terms as compared to its year ended March 2007.Asset prices of ships had globally peaked in mid-2008 and have fallen since then, and GE Shipping utilised this opportunity to improve its cash flows. In addition, there was an extremely challenging environment for global shipping industry during April and December 2009.

In the companys offshore division, its owned fleet at the end of the third quarter of FY10, included a jack-up rig, five platform supply vessels (PSV), one multi-purpose supply vessel, coupled with eight anchor handling tug supply vessels. This was substantially higher than just two offshore platform support vessels at the end of FY 07. The company had invested on a consolidated basis Rs 5,059.7 crore between March 2007 and March 2009, while its operating cash flow during this period stood at Rs 4,877.7 crore. Its leverage ratio was just 0.6 at the end of the previous financial year and lower than two years earlier.

CAPEX PLANS:
GE Shipping plans to incur a capex of $437 million (nearly Rs 2,020 crore) in its shipping business over the next 18 months. In its offshore division, the company has a capex of $ 406 million (nearly Rs 1,880 crore) for the purchase of 10 more assets, and these would be delivered over the next 15 months. However, analysts fear that such an aggressive capex plan over the next 24 months could lead to a rise in the companys leverage ratio, going forward.

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE:
GE Shippings standalone operating profit margin fell 630 basis points yoy to 35% in third quarter of FY 10, at a time when its net sales also declined 33.5% yoy to Rs 466.9 crore. The operating environment was extremely difficult, with average spot freight rates in VLCC that fell 62.3 % yoy. On a consolidated basis too, which includes its offshore division, GE Shippings operating profit margin fell 1,070 basis points yoy to 28.2% in third quarter. During the first nine months of FY 10, its offshore business contributed 21.6% of total segment sales and shipping the rest.

STOCK VALUATIONS:
GE Shipping at Rs 261.5 per share, trades at 7.3 times on a trailing four-quarter basis. Rival, Shipping Corp trades at 14 times and Mercator Lines at 6.2 times. Investors could consider buying stocks of GE Shipping for long term.
Reference & excerpts from: ET Investors Guide.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IPO Informtion & Analysis - ARSS Infrastructure

ARSS Infrastructure carries out activities such as laying new rail tracks, construction of rail and road bridges, signaling/telecommunication work for railways, widening of roads, strengthening and repair of railway infrastructure, highways, bridges and irrigation projects.

An analysis of the companys business and a comparison with its peers seems to indicate that the issue is very attractively priced. Investors are advised to subscribe to the issue.

BUSINESS:

As of January 10, 2010, the company has an order book of Rs 2,877 crore, equivalent to 4.6x its FY09 contract income. This indicates strong future revenue stream. The company has acquired the necessary equipment to execute these orders spanning over 18-24 months. ARSS has established itself as an infrastructure player through joint ventures with established partners and has developed an extensive experience in rail projects. Its revenue mix includes 46% from railways, 33% from roadwork and the balance from irrigation projects and others. However, this skews the revenue mix towards one segment. Going ahead, the share of roads is expected to increase slightly, according to the current order book. SBI is a major investor with a 7.97% holding in the company . Some of the major projects executed so far aggregate to Rs 1,284 crore.

STOCK FINANCIALS:
Over the past two years, orders from railways grew 89% while the company has been in this business for the past nine years. In FY09, the total income stood at Rs 628 crore with a net profit of Rs 51.2 crore. Its revenues grew at a CAGR of 116.7 % for the period FY07- FY09 and profit after tax grew at a CAGR of 120 % over the same period. The company is expected to complete projects worth Rs 994 crore by FY10. Going ahead, the company would look at diversifying its revenue stream and also increase the share of irrigation projects apart from roads. It has managed to improve its ratio of net working capital to sales from 0.53 in FY08 to 0.43 in FY09. This shows faster cash generation by the business. The company has a debt of Rs 370 crore on its books.

VALUATIONS & IPO ANALYSIS:
Post the issue; valuation of the company comes to 6.61x to 7.14x of its annualised earnings of FY10. The fact that almost half of its annual profit is generated in the last quarter would further lower its pricing. The company has a significant presence in railway contracts and there are not many players, other than L&T , in this segment. On a TTM basis, L&T is trading at 10.69x. Thus ARSS leaves enough scope of upside for the investors. The fact that the companys networth will increase after the issue, growth in revenue will be good. Moreover, as government spending on infrastructure is bound to increase and with an established track record of executing government orders, the future for ARSS looks bright.
Source & Ref: Investors Guide

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hathway Cables IPO information & Analysis

HATHWAY Cable & Datacom is entering the capital market with an offer of close to 2.7 crore shares at a face value of Rs 10 each.

Price Band: Rs 245-265
Issue size: Rs 735 crore

GROWTH PLANS:
The company has a decade of experience in providing cable television related services. It is a well known brand among broadband service providers and has around 3,22,000 subscribers as of the December 2009 quarter.

The company plans to mop up around Rs 735 crore (at the upper price band) through this initial public offering. Going forward, the company intends to expand its broadband penetration, going directly to the customer instead through a cable operator and digitise its existing analogue subscribers. Of the total proceeds, the company plans to use close to Rs 243 crore for acquisition of new customers. It also plans to invest around Rs 156 crore in digitising its analogue networks. Besides, the company also plans to invest Rs 83 crore in scaling up its broadband operations and plans to use around Rs 96 crore for repayment of loans. At the end of the December 2009 quarter, the company had an outstanding debt of Rs 400 crore.

The cable services continue to form a big part of the companys broad space; more than 80% of the company revenue come from it. Of total revenues of Rs 340 crore in the sixmonth period, cable services accounted for Rs 280 crore. Being an early entrant in the broadband space has helped the company position its broadband services as one of the premium services. Of the two-million customer base, the company has 50%, which is one million. Going forward, broadband space would continue to be a significant revenue generator . The company hopes to increase its digital subscriber base through this subscriber base, which comes handy to it. However, the company, like many players in the industry, had to struggle hard to build its cable and digital subscriber base. Towards this, the company has taken recourse to a strategy of acquiring subscribers through the acquisition of local cable operator (LCOs). Over the past two years, the company has primarily grown inorganically, acquiring smaller multi system operators and LCOs. It now intends to convert its acquired-analogue subscribers to digital. The company would continue to pursue this strategy. More so, it intends to directly reach the subscriber with no intermediary. Though this strategy sounds good the company is struggling to become cash positive.

FINANCIALS, VALUATIONS AND IPO ANALYSIS:
In the past four years ended FY09, the companys income from operations has increased at a CAGR of 34% while in the past four years, the companys operating profit expanded more than of 100%. Like any other cable operator, initially the company made losses, but has now break-even and is cash positive. During the year ended FY09, it reported cash profit (net profit + depreciation) of Rs33 crore. For the six-month period from April-September this fiscal, the company had a net loss of Rs 42 crore and recorded a positive cash profit of Rs 19 crore. Given that it is still making losses, it would be meaningless to evaluate the issue on the basis of the price to earnings multiple. The same applies to most of its listed peers as both wireless and dish TV have been making losses for years now.

Industry players have been making claims that it would take a few more quarters to become cash positive. The best is to compare companies on the basis of price to book value (P/B) ratio. At its upper price band, Hathway would command a P/B ratio of 3.2. This compares favourably with Wire & Wireless P/B ratio of 3.5 and Den Networks 4.1. Given this investors are advised to buy ipo issue at the cut-off price.
Source: Investors Guide

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, February 7, 2010

Indian Stocks News On Facebook & Twitter - Become A Fan & Follow

Dear Investors, IndianStocksNews.com is now available on Facebook.com and Twitter.com in order to update you on best stocks to buy even when you are networking.



Become A Fan of Indian Stocks News on Facebook - Get Updates on Best Stocks To Buy




Follow Indian Stocks News on Twitter - Get Updates on Best Stocks To Buy
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, February 6, 2010

Small Cap Stocks To Buy For 2010 - 2011

Ashish Chugh, famous investment analyst for his "Hidden Gems" book, has recently recommended two small cap stocks to buy in 2010. He has advised to buy stocks of both these companies for next 1-2 years for best investment returns.

Tulsyan NEC - Small Cap Value Stock To Buy
This is a company, which is in two lines of business: Steel and woven sacks. The company manufactures TMT bars, MS alloys and billets in the steel division. They also manufacture HTP and PP woven sacks. Tulsyan NEC is not ideally one of those steel companies which you would want it to be in terms of backward linkages.

Small Cap Stock To Buy - Orient Ceramics
Orient Ceramics is a Delhi-based company manufacturing ceramic tiles. This company has got its manufacturing plant located in Secunderabad in Uttar Pradesh. Off late the company has been doing lot of initiatives to increase the market share. The company has introduced new ranges of tiles. These new ranges have got good response from the market.

Checkout: Stocks To Buy Below Rs.50 In 2010

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tulsyan NEC - Small Cap Value Stock To Buy

This is second of the small cap stocks to buy in 2010 recommended by Ashish Chugh in his recent comments on CNBC-TV18 channel.

This Company is listed on BSE as well as NSE. It got its listing permission from NSE a couple of months back. This is a company, which is in two lines of business: Steel and woven sacks. The company manufactures TMT bars, MS alloys and billets in the steel division. They also manufacture HTP and PP woven sacks. Tulsyan NEC is not ideally one of those steel companies which you would want it to be in terms of backward linkages. The company as of now doesn’t have any backward linkages. It buys steel scrap/sponge iron for manufacture of steel and it also buys power from the grid. It doesn’t have its own captive power source.

But if you look at the other positives of the company, this company is available at a market cap of just about Rs 33 crore. The company does sales revenue of about Rs 650-700 crore. This company has been a profit making company for the past 15 years. It has made profit not just at the operational level but also in the net level in the last 15 years. The company has got a track record of dividend for the last ten years which is uninterrupted – even during the worse phases of the steel cycle this company has paid dividend in the last 10 years.

The company made an operating profit of about Rs 46 crore last year and operating profit for the first nine-months is about Rs 31 crore. PAT for first nine months is about Rs 4.5 crore, which results in an annualized EPS of about Rs 12. At the current price of about Rs 65 this stock is trading at a PE multiple of about 5-6.

The other good thing happening here is that the company is now going in for backward linkages, about 2-3 months back this company has acquired a sponge iron plant called Chitrakoot Steel and Power Limited, which has got a 30,000 tonne per annum for sponge iron capacity, which they are increasing further to about 1 lakh tonne per annum. The company is also putting up a 35 megawatt power plant. They have already acquired about 75 acre of land. This will be operational in Q3 2011, which is FY12.

Considering all this, the company had been making good profits for the past 15 years without any backward linkages. Now the backward linkages are coming. The market cap of the company is just about Rs 33 crore – even assuming a 1% increase in net profit margins on a sales of Rs 700 crore results with an EPS increase of about Rs 14.

Of course, this is not an ideal steel company in terms of linkages but its available at a market cap just about Rs 33 crore on sales of Rs 700 crore. The downside from these levels looks extremely restricted but once the linkages are there, obviously, the profitability will go up. Also there is a potential for huge upscale increase in profits after the linkages are available.

So at the current price of Rs 60-65 I think it’s a stock to buy for the next maybe two years. Once the linkages are in place the profits can go up really sharply.

Disclosure: Analyst, Ashish Chugh has investments in Tulsyan NEC

Checkout more small cap stocks to buy in 2010

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Small Cap Stock To Buy - Orient Ceramics

Here is one of the small cap stocks to buy in 2010 recommended by Ashish Chugh in his recent comments on CNBC-TV18 channel.

Orient Ceramics is a Delhi-based company manufacturing ceramic tiles. This company has got its manufacturing plant located in Secunderabad in Uttar Pradesh. Off late the company has been doing lot of initiatives to increase the market share. The company has introduced new ranges of tiles. These new ranges have got good response from the market.

The company is planning to open more retail stores and also have larger distribution network of distributors and retailers in various cities where they are currently not present. The third thing is that the company has also decided to start retailing of other construction related items, which makes it a one stop shop for all construction needs.

On the financial side:
For FY09 the company achieved sales of about Rs 225 crore and made Rs 6.4 crore in profit after tax (PAT), which results in an EPS of about Rs 6-6.5.For the first nine-months of the current financial year, sales are at Rs 175 crore. The PAT is up by 35% to about Rs 6 crore. For full year, expected sales are around Rs 250 crore with a PAT of Rs 8.5 crore, which results in an EPS of about Rs 8. At the current price of about Rs 45, the stock is trading at a price to earnings multiple of about Rs 5-6.

Market Cap 53.60
* EPS (TTM) 7.55
* P/E 6.74
* P/C 2.89
* Book Value 49.86
* Price/Book 1.02
Div(%) 15.00
Div Yield(%) 2.95
Market Lot 1.00
Face Value 10.00
Industry P/E 8.26

This is a full tax paying company. The company pays tax with no concessions. If you look at the market cap of the company this company has a market cap of about Rs 45 crore. Sales is Rs 250 crore and cash profit is Rs 20 crore, which means it is going at less than two-and-a-half year’s of its cash profit.

This company has a dividend history of the past 20 years. Only during 1993 it skipped dividend. Otherwise from 1990 to 2009, the company has been regularly paying dividend. Considering all these factors at the market cap of about Rs 45 crore the stock qualifies as a value stock to buy. It is a good investment from 1 - 2 years perspective.

Checkout more small cap stocks to buy in 2010

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, February 5, 2010

Stock Analysis of Rajesh Exports Baesd On Quarterly Results

Stock analysis of Rajesh exports, one of the largest Jewellery exporter and retailer, based on it's december quarter results analysis.

For the quarter ending December 2009, the topline expanded by 65% compared to the same quarter last year. The operating and net profits doubled to Rs 67 and Rs 44 crore respectively, in the latest quarter compared to last year’s.

Overall stability in the business and persistent jewellery demand form the Asian countries helped the company break out from the sluggish performance of the past six quarters. Profit margins remained in a squeeze from June 2008 to September 2009 quarters even as the revenues grew by an average 45 per cent in the duration.

Rajesh Exports claims to be present in the entire jewellery value chain, from refining to retailing gold jewellery. The company’s owns a manufacturing facility with a built-up area of over half a million square feet, which it claims to be the world’s largest. Its product portfolio is divided into Asian, western and diamond jewellery.

The company also forayed into the retail business with two chains of retail outlets: Laabh, a high-end niche segment dealing with diamonds, and Shubh, which is gold-centric and caters to the mass to middle markets in the South. Initially, the company had announced plans to open 200 Laabh stores in two years and 100 Shubh stores in the South by December 2008.

However, in July 2009, it decided to consolidate its retail brands by converting three Laabh stores into Shubh outlets. The decision was taken as running two brands was proving to be a strain for the company.

In the past five financial years, the sales have increased by 29 per cent compounded annually, while the net profit grew by a CAGR of 33 per cent. However, cash profit grew by a CAGR of 19 per cent in the period and the net cash from operation turned negative for FY09.

STOCK VALUATIONS
A high debt-equity ratio is a concern (2.1 for FY09) for the company as loan funds increased by 29% during the period, in line with a CAGR of 23 per cent in the working capital. The company also lacks strong brand positioning which is a key aspect to survive in the industry while the retail business is already in trouble.

In this backdrop, the stock looks overvalued at the current market price as its P/E stands near 36, three times its average in the past two years and more than triple the same since 2001.

The stock is demanding 16x its earnings based on an annualized EPS of 6.8 for FY10, which makes the stock expensive and unreasonable for fresh investment.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, February 4, 2010

Small Cap Stock To Buy - Banswara Syntex

Banswara Syntex is a good stock to buy on dips given the company’s wide product portfolio and its focus to grow the niche textile products. I would like to include this stock in our series stocks to buy in 2010 - Let's Share Ideas.

A 33-year-old integrated textile manufacturer, Banswara Syntex has benefited the most during the recent run in stocks of some of the integrated textile manufacturers. The company experienced a jump in its operating margins in the current financial year due to improved exports while rising prices of yarns have also supported the margins in the latest quarter.

COMPANY:
Banswara Syntex is a Rajasthan-based blended yarn and fabric manufacturer. The company manufactures all types of blended yarns, namely polyester, viscose, woolen and acrylic other than cotton. It also manufactures fabrics and garments on made to order basis and supplies them to all top retail brands. Banswara has entered into a 50% joint venture with French textile company Carreman for a weaving plant of 60 looms. The company has started production of technical textiles while it also manufactures Lycra branded fabrics especially for women fashion clothing, women office clothing and school uniforms.

The fabric business is currently the larger contributor to the total revenue, with more than 60% of sales coming from the segment. The rest 40% to the topline is contributed by the yarn business, a major chunk of which comes from the sale of polyester yarn. The company exports its products to nearly 50 countries and exports accounted for nearly 60% of revenue in the current quarter. Banswara has coal-based and furnace oil thermal power-based power plant with a capacity of 18 MW (mega watt) and 9 MW respectively, both of which are used for captive consumption of power. The company has planned for an additional 15/18 MW thermal-based power plant, which is expected to commence operation at the end of ‘10.

FINANCIALS:
In the last five financial years, the company’s topline grew at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21% while net profit increased with a CAGR of 40%. The revenue experienced a big push in FY10 thanks to a substantial demand recovery in the March ‘09 quarter. On a trailing year basis, while the improvement in profit margins continued during the latest four quarters, the interest cover has improved in the last two quarters. This is in line with a decline in the interest cost (from 5.9% to 5.1% of net sales) in the latest two quarters on a trailing year basis. While a high debt to equity ratio (4:1 for FY10) is a concern, the growth in debt is accompanied by a similar expansion in the gross block. The company has a capex plan of Rs 110 for the next financial year, about one-third of which is to be resourced through internal accruals, and the rest through term loans. The funds are to be used for construction of another power plant and modernisation of the current production facilities.

GROWTH DRIVERS:
The company expects to further bank on its fabric line of business by focussing on niche market products like Lycra and technical textiles. In recent months, it has received an initial order of 57,000 metres of three-layer waterproof breathable fabrics from ministry of defense and a third repeat order of 20,000 metres of technical fabric from a US-based customer. Banswara has planned for an additional 15/18 MW thermal based power plant which is expected to commence operation at the end of 2010. The power generated by this plant would primarily be used for internal consumption and surplus for sale.

Market Cap 141.68
* EPS (TTM) 24.72
* P/E 4.37
* P/C 2.29
* Book Value 68.16
* Price/Book 1.59
Div(%) 18.00
Div Yield(%) 1.67
Market Lot 1.00
Face Value 10.00
Industry P/E 158.25

STOCK VALUATIONS:
The stock has demonstrated an outstanding performance not only against the Sensex but also among all textile companies. Against a 75% gain in the Sensex, the market-cap of Banswara experienced a six-fold jump. At the current market price, the PE ratio stands at 4.5, lower than its average for the last five years and closer to the average of the last two years. The stock is a good stock to buy with intrinsic value on dips given the company’s focus to promote its niche textile products.
Source & Reference: ET Investor Guide

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stock Analysis of Gail - Stock Valuations Are High Now

Gail continues to remain a fundamentally strong company, its rich valuations are now indicating a limited upside in the short term. It is not advisable to buy stocks of Gail now for new investments.

Gail is a large cap growth stock. The company is entering a heavy investment phase in its core business to quadruple its gross block in five years. At the same time, the subsidies and E&P (exploration and production) expenditure have raised uncertainties over its earnings. Fresh investments should be avoided at the current valuation.

BUSINESS:
Gail operates India’s largest natural gas pipeline network with a current length of 7,200 km and a transmission capacity of 150 million metric standard cubic metres per day (MMSCMD). It also produces over 1.3 million tonnes of liquid hydrocarbons including LPG and 4.1 lakh tonnes of polyethylene per annum.

In a bid to secure its raw materials, the company has also invested in 30 exploration blocks including operatorship in two. The company is investing in the entire value chain of the natural gas business and owns promoter’s stakes in Petronet LNG and seven city gas distribution companies including Indraprastha Gas. The company has also floated a subsidiary, Gail Gas, for CNG stations along highways. Its 70% subsidiary, Brahmaputra Cracker, recently obtained financial closure for its 280,000-tpa polymer unit in Assam with an investment of Rs 5,460 crore.

The Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board (PNGRB), constituted in October ‘07, has laid out rules for determining tariffs for existing and new pipelines with effect from November ‘08. When the change takes place, Gail will have to account for its impact on profits with retrospective effect.

FUTURE PLANS:
The company is expanding its pipeline network substantially to add another 6,600 km of pipelines within the next three years. In addition, it is investing in its E&P blocks besides investing in its joint venture projects such as Brahmaputra Cracker and ONGC Petro Additions. The projected capital expenditure for the next five years is Rs 49,155 crore - almost thrice its current gross block.

In the near term, the rising production from Reliance Industries’ KG basin fields will bring in additional transmission revenues for the company, while any E&P success could add to future growth visibility. But rest of its projects will take long to generate returns.

FINANCIALS:
Over the last three years, the company has spent an average of Rs 270 crore annually on the E&P business towards survey and dry well expenditure. So far, in the first nine months of FY10, it has written off Rs 108 crore. As a result, the company is likely to write-off another Rs 150 crore in the March ‘10 quarter. The company has been cash rich with over Rs 3,000 crore of annual operating cash flows. However, its ambitious investment plans for the next five years will necessitate it to raise debt of Rs 28,700 crore in the next five years.

Since FY04, Gail is sharing subsidy on LPG and has so far contributed Rs 8,200 crore on a cumulative basis. Subsidy sharing has always remained the most influential factor for Gail’s profits and which will remain equally uncertain in future as in the past. A reduction in subsidy burden was the key driver of Gail’s good performance in the December ‘09 quarter. Over the last five years, the company’s net sales have grown at a cumulative annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% and net profit at a CAGR of 10%. In the nine months ended December ‘09, the company’s profits are only marginally higher than that of the year-ago period.

STOCK VALUATIONS:
At the current market price, the scrip is trading at a price-to-earnings multiple (P/E) of 17.7. This is comparable with its smaller peers such as Gujarat Gas, Gujarat State Petronet and Indraprastha Gas. Based on the estimated earnings for FY11, the scrip is trading at a P/E of 14.1.

Considering the uncertainties attached to the earnings, this valuation is not attractive for buying stocks for fresh investments in the scrip.
Source: ET Investor Guide

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Small Cap Growth Stock To Buy From IT - Subex

Subex, provider of fraud management and revenue assurance solutions to global telecom players, was one of the worst hit companies due to a slump in the telecom sector in the last eight quarters globally.

The company struggled to remain afloat as its clients from the telecom sector postponed investments in new projects. Now, the worst seems to be over for the sector. Telcos are showing signs of revival, which means that the investments could get back in the sector. This augurs well for Subex.

BUSINESS:
Subex earned Rs 600 crore in the last fiscal from product licences and managed services. Though products contribute over 90% of the revenue, the company is keen on improving the share of the services component as this offers higher margins in the long term. Subex offers solutions to more than half of the top 70 telcos in the world. Apart from its biggest market in the US, it has 54 clients in the African continent and six in India. It has 1,200 employees on its payroll. Its clientlist includes Bell, Comcast, T Mobile, Telefonica, Verizon, BT, Zain, Vodafone, BSNL, Reliance Communications, and Telstra among others.

Inorganic growth has played an important part in Subexs growth strategy. In the last five years it has acquired four companies in the field of revenue assurance, fraud management, and services fulfillment.

FINANCIALS:
Between FY04 and FY07, the company grew its topline four times aided by acquisitions. Its net profit shot up by a similar magnitude during the said period. However, the next two years proved to be challenging given the slowdown in the global telecom sector. Though topline continued to grow, profits were hard to come by. The company reported losses at the operating level in FY08 and FY09 since costs escalated at a faster pace than the revenues.

The December 09 quarter reflects signs of revival as the company returned to profitability. It has also restructured foreign currency loans that are convertible into equity shares. This has reduced its debt burden by around 24%.

STOCK VALUATIONS:

Subexs trailing twelve month (TTM) P/E (price-earnings ratio) cannot be considered since the company had posted losses during the first half of FY10. Assuming stable earnings per share for each of the quarters in FY11, its forward P/E comes out to be 6.7 at the current market price of Rs 66 per share. This makes it reasonably valued among the other mid-tier IT players which command P/Es of eight-to-ten . The book value is at Rs.97 which makes this a value stock to buy.

GROWTH PROSPECTS:
Subexs 07 acquisition of services fulfillment player Syndesis went awry as global telcos cut new capex postsubprime crisis. Subex took a big hit because of this since it was betting on selling the next generation deliverables of Syndesis. Given the recovery in the telecom space currently, Subex is hopeful of reviving the Syndesis business. The company is also aggressively expanding its services portfolio, which would generate recurring revenue. With the restructuring of its FCCBs and other debts, its interest costs will fall. This will support its net margin in the future quarters. Investors can consider to buy stocks on a long-term basis.
Source:ET Investors Guide

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Large Cap Safe Stock To Buy - ITC

ITC is one of the most diversified companies and it is a classic defensive stock to buy which investors should be investing in.

Reason behind recommending ITC as large cap safe stock to buy is the company's dominant business of cigarettes. Over the years it has diversified into non-tobacco businesses such as, FMCG, hotels, paper & paperboards and agri-products . ITC offers investors an interesting contra opportunity. True to its defensive nature, the companys stock has been under performing the markets since February last year. However, this should not disappoint the investors, as investment in the companys stock remains protected irrespective of where the market is headed.

SEGMENT-WISE ERFORMANCE & PROSPECTS:
The companys cigarette business, its most important segment, is fraught by increasing taxes and prohibitory regulations. The company, on realising the limited growth prospects of this business, has followed the strategy of de-risking its business model.

ITCs cigarette business, which contributes around 45% to the companys topline and 85% to its bottomline, has been growing at about 9-10 % y-o-y . It is witnessing healthy volume growth despite an increase in VAT in few states, imposition of a ban on smoking and a presence of low-priced tax-evading illegal cigarettes. The companys FMCG business, although still loss making, has been witnessing steady increase in volumes. Strong performance in packaged foods and personal care products has been the major growth driver. Price hikes, changes in the product mix to include high margin products, portfolio extension and cost control measures (especially in retailing) have facilitated growth. The company intends to reduce losses of the division by 20% in the coming fiscal.

ITCs hotel business, which suffered the most during recession, has started showing signs of improvement. With occupancy rates inching up to nearly 60% and average room rates rising 15-20 %, revenues from this segment have started showing sequential improvement. The Commonwealth Games this year and Cricket World Cup in 2011 are likely to augur well for the hotel segment.

In its paper business, ITC commands a premium in all its products of paper, paperboards and packaging materials. The company has been making increased investments in this division. Doubling pulp capacity, increased capacity utilisation and valueadded product-mix has enabled the company to be cost competitive and consolidate its market standing. The companys agri-business provides good sourcing support to the cigarette segment and has been witnessing a steady improvement in earnings. Strong performance of leaf tobacco products has enabled this segment to register strong growth this fiscal.

FINANCIALS:
The company's net sales have grown at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19% over the last five fiscal years to reach close to Rs 16,500 crore in FY09. The net profits have grown at a CAGR of 16% during the same period to Rs 3,300 crore at the end of FY09. At a 3-year average payout ratio of 45%, the companys dividends have grown at 23%, much higher than the CAGR at which companys net profits grew.

STOCK VALUATIONS:
The company's stock is currently trading at a priceto-earnings ratio of 25. But its market cap is at a little over six times its net sales much higher than that of any other FMCG company. It comes on the back of promising growth prospects of the company in diversified segments. As the company continues to achieve strong growth in non-cigarette businesses, it will reduce its dependence on the tobacco business for growth. While this transition seems to be happening at a slow pace, long-term investors are likely to benefit from the companys promising growth story.
Source:ETIG

Checkout: Stocks To Buy In 2010

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BHARTI AIRTEL Stock Analysis - Quarterly Result Update

Stock analysis based on Bharti Airtel's December '09 quarter results by Centrum Broking, a stock trading broker. Analysis suggest good upside in an years time.

Reco buy price: Rs 321
CMP: Rs 306.50
Target price: Rs 400
Upside: 30.5%

Bharti’s December 2009 quarter performance remained flat due to sequential fall in RPM (revenues per minute) by 7.8 per cent to 52 paisa. However, mobile minutes registered growth of 6.7 per cent to Rs 15,300 crore on the back of elasticity from lower tariffs and lower base in September 2009 quarter. Revenue declined 0.7 per cent sequentially and grew 1.4 per cent year-on-year to Rs 9,770 crore.

Increase in network costs and selling, general and administration costs depressed margins. EBITDA fell 6 per cent sequentially to Rs 3,900 crore and margins contracted 204 basis points to 40 per cent. The brokerage expects revenue performance to remain subdued in the March 2010 quarter, as RPM has not yet bottomed despite competition.

Market Cap 116,604.40
* EPS (TTM) 24.68
* P/E 12.44
* P/C 9.27
* Book Value 72.49
* Price/Book 4.24
Div(%) 20.00
Div Yield(%) 0.33
Market Lot 1.00
Face Value 5.00
Industry P/E 13.21

At Rs 321, the stock trades at 12.1 times its estimated 2010-11 EPS.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Small Cap Stocks

Mid Cap Stocks

Large Cap Stocks

Best on Indian Stocks News

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stocks to Buy

 

Value Stocks to Buy

 

Stocks to Buy In 2010

 

Growth Stocks

 

Dividend Stocks

 

Penny Stocks To Buy

Agriculture

 

Automobile

 

Shipping

 

Power Sector

 

Pharmaceutical - Healthcare

 

Realty - Infrastructure

Capital Goods

 

FMCG Sector

 

Banking - Finance

Investment Management

 

Investment Legends

 

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala

 

IPO

 

Mutual Funds

 

Personal Finance

 

Blog Roll

Disclaimer

We always face the challenge to refer to useful information about stocks. We rarely find the same on internet after huge efforts. This site is meant to provide you very useful information on Indian stocks. The only aim of site is to provide good quality information on stocks to all for free of cost with minimal efforts. All the stock investment reports & information presented on this site is collection of information for reference to make investment decisions. We collect the information on internet thru various resources like other blogs/sites/newspapers and post it here with source.

We do not represent the information contained here in is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. All the contents of this site is only for general information or use. They do not constitute advice and should not be relied upon in making (or refraining from making) any decision. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information. This blog is only for personal informatory purpose and individuals are adviced to take one's own call. Earning money in stock markets is not easy. Invest Wisely! Trade cautiously!!

  ©-2010-Indian Stocks News-:Your source for trusted information on Best Stocks To Buy, Stock Tips, Stock Reports, Stock Analysis, Small Cap Stocks, Mid Cap Stocks, Large Cap Stocks

Back to TOP