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Tuesday, September 23, 2008

Gateway Distriparks - Multibagger stock

Gateway Distriparks
Cluster: Cannonball
Recommendation: Buy
Price target: Rs
236
Current market price: Rs
87

Annual report review : Key points

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Financial year 2008 proved to be a mixed year for GDL as the companys top line saw a strong growth in this period on the back of an excellent volume growth. However, a change in the revenue mix in favour of the new businesses and the lower-margin container freight station (CFS) of Punjab Conware led to a decline in the profitability of the company during the year.


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Despite challenges, the company expects the growth in the container traffic to continue in FY2009 and is in the process of expanding the capacity at its CFS at Visakhapatnam and setting up a new CFS at Kochi. Its inland container depots (ICDs) at Ludhiana and Faridabad are also expected to become operational in the next couple of years. Besides, the company would continue to aggressively expand its fleet in the rail business and has already placed orders for ten more trains.


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The net cash flow from operations after working capital adjustments remained healthy for the company at Rs80.75 crore. The working capital management has improved as the net working capital cycle reduced to a negative 17.5 days in FY2008 as against a positive 14.6 days last year. On account of a strong capital expenditure (capex) owing to its entry into new businesses and a decline in its profitability, the return ratios dipped during the year. The return on capital employed (RoCE) dropped by 1.9% to 12.5% while the return on net worth (RoNW) dipped by 1.3% to 11.1% during FY2008. The current debt/equity ratio is comfortable at 0.3x and despite its big capex plans, we expect the ratio to be maintained going forward.


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Increased volumes in the core business, combined with the deployment of more rails on the export-import (EXIM) route, are expected to strengthen the performance of GDL going forward. At the current levels, the GDL stock is trading at 9.3x FY2010E earnings. We maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock with a price target of Rs236.

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